Labour's victory margin narrows as Reform gains momentum - national readers' poll

By Ryan Parker

1st Jul 2024 | Local News

A second Nub News national readers' poll suggests a landslide victory is not nailed on for Sir Keir Starmer's Labour Party (Wiki Commons).
A second Nub News national readers' poll suggests a landslide victory is not nailed on for Sir Keir Starmer's Labour Party (Wiki Commons).

Labour's seemingly inevitable march to election victory this week may not be as comprehensive as many are predicting, a second national poll of Nub News readers has indicated.

With our previous national poll a fortnight ago predicting a landslide victory was not nailed on for Sir Keir Starmer, results published this morning (July 1) continue to pour water on the flames of those expecting one of the most devastating election victories in recent years.

What does the National Nub News Readers' Poll Suggest?

The Nub News national results showed Nigel Farage's Reform rising, coming in third place with 20 per cent of the vote (Wiki Commons).

While our independent poll of newsletters subscribers have Labour as clear favourites at 32 per cent, that still falls short of many other polls in which the party exceed two fifths of the vote share.

However, as many other commentators are predicting, the national results showed Reform rising, coming in third place with 20 per cent of the vote. This was up from 19 per cent.

They sit just behind the Conservatives (21 per cent) and ahead of the Liberal Democrats at 17 per cent.

Since our national last poll was published on June 18, Labour's lead has grown slightly from 29 per cent to 31 per cent.

The Conservatives have also seen their vote show grow slightly from 19 per cent.

Meanwhile, the Liberal Democrats have seen their share of the votes drop from close to 19 per cent to 16.6 per cent.

Nub News polled over 2000 newsletter subscribers between 12:35pm on Wednesday June 26 and midnight on Friday 28 June. Readers were only able to register a single vote for one of the eight candidates. Results were not weighted demographically. 

What happened in the Crewe and Nantwich Readers' Poll?

In Crewe and Nantwich, our poll results have Connor Naismith's Labour as strong favourites to be elected (Connor Naismith).

In Crewe and Nantwich, our poll results have Labour as strong favourites to have an MP elected.

Connor Naismith leads the race ahead of Matt Wood (Reform UK) by 16.34 per cent.

Ben Fletcher (Conservative) is in third place with just 14.08 per cent.

Lord Psychobilly Tractor (The Monster Raving Loony Party) came fourth with 4.51 per cent of the vote.

Check out the full Crewe and Nantwich Nub News poll results HERE.

     

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